Final Results for November 2022
| Nov | Oct | Nov | M-M | Y-Y | |
| 2022 | 2022 | 2021 | Change | Change | |
| Index of Consumer Sentiment | 56.8 | 59.9 | 67.4 | -5.2% | -15.7% |
| Current Economic Conditions | 58.8 | 65.6 | 73.6 | -10.4% | -20.1% |
| Index of Consumer Expectations | 55.6 | 56.2 | 63.5 | -1.1% | -12.4% |
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Read our November 18th report, Five Patterns in Consumer Responses to Inflation.
Next data release: Friday, December 09, 2022 for Preliminary December data at 10am ET
Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu
Consumer sentiment fell 5% below October, offsetting about one-third of the gains posted since the historic low in June. Along with the ongoing impact of inflation, consumer attitudes have also been weighed down by rising borrowing costs, declining asset values, and weakening labor market expectations. Buying conditions for durables, which had markedly improved last month, decreased most sharply in November, falling back 19% to its September level on the basis of high interest rates and continued high prices. Long-term business conditions declined a more modest 6%, while short-term business conditions and personal finances were essentially unchanged.
Inflation expectations were also little changed from October. The median expected year-ahead inflation rate was 4.9%, down slightly from 5.0% last month. Long run inflation expectations, currently at 3.0%, have remained in the narrow (albeit elevated) 2.9-3.1% range for 15 of the last 16 months. Uncertainty over these expectations remained at an elevated level, indicating that the general stability of these expectations may not necessarily endure.
Inflation expectations were also little changed from October. The median expected year-ahead inflation rate was 4.9%, down slightly from 5.0% last month. Long run inflation expectations, currently at 3.0%, have remained in the narrow (albeit elevated) 2.9-3.1% range for 15 of the last 16 months. Uncertainty over these expectations remained at an elevated level, indicating that the general stability of these expectations may not necessarily endure.
